Sat. Jul 20th, 2024

US presidential candidates 2024: who will win? Poll favorites

By b0oua Mar 1, 2024
News

The most recent polls that have been published indicate that Donald Trump is the overwhelming favorite to run for the presidency of the United States of America, surpassing Joe Biden in the process. The attention of voters today is focused on the current incumbent president, Joe Biden, as well as his predecessor and former president, Donald Trump, in preparation for the elections that are planned to take place on November 5. Unlike what occurred in 2020, it appears that there are no viable or appealing competitors within the parties. In other words, the situation is not the same.

Let’s begin by taking a closer look at the percentages.

The findings of the polls

Taking into consideration the findings of the most recent study that was published by the Economist, The support that Donald Trump, who is a representative of the Republican Party, receives ranges from 41% to 51%, and it is now anticipated that he will receive an average of 46% of the vote. On the other hand, Joe Biden, who is a member of the Democratic Party, has received support ranging from 39% to 49%, with an average of 44%.

The national margin of victory for Trump against Biden would be approximately 3.8 points, and he would have a similar lead in crucial states such as Georgia, Nevada, Michigan, and Arizona if the election were to take place today.

The newspaper known as The Economist is keeping a close eye on the election fight and delivering information on the most recent survey that has been conducted. However, it is essential to keep in mind that the capacity of pre-election polls to accurately forecast outcomes is restricted until the late summer of an election year or later.

For all intents and purposes, the contest between the two candidates is set to become one of the most important electoral rematches that has taken place in the most recent decades. Following his loss in the elections that came before, Donald Trump found himself embroiled in a number of legal cases that were connected to an attempt to overturn the outcome of the election. Biden, on the other hand, was in office at a time that was marked by high inflation and difficult foreign crises such as the conflict in Afghanistan, the war in Ukraine, and the conflict in the Middle East.

There is widespread disapproval of both candidates, and for many people in the United States, the election will be more of a referendum on who is the “lesser evil.” In conclusion, the comparison between Trump and Biden continues to dominate the political landscape in the United States. This is mostly due to the fact that there is no other candidate candidate who is both possible and appealing.

Why Biden runs the risk of losing the elections in the United States

In comparison to previous administrations, it is a well-known truth that the current Vice President, Joe Biden, is seeing a decline in popularity when compared to the past. The preferences of voters and the support of the general public continue to decrease, and polls indicate that public dissatisfaction with his government is growing.

It is a huge cause for concern among Democratic voters that there has not been a dramatic change in the administration of Vice President Joe Biden, which could put his chances of being re-elected in the upcoming election cycle in a precarious position. Biden’s public support is much lower than that of his predecessors in office, as evidenced by the fact that he has a negative approval rating that is higher than that of Trump at the same time period that he is serving in office.

A disheartening picture emerges for the present president when one considers the situation in comparison to that of previous presidents who were unsuccessful in winning elections while having good popularity ratings (which are higher than Biden’s ratings now).

On the other hand, there is still a great deal of time for Democrats who are dubious to change their minds and their impressions of the economy to shift for the better. Furthermore, the possibility that Trump really wins the election may encourage Democratic voters in the United States to cast their ballots, even if they are not particularly excited about the leadership capabilities of Biden.

(Reuters) – February 28st In the general election of 2024, former President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and Nikki Haley, a former ambassador to the United Nations, are seeking to become their party’s presidential contender. Meanwhile, President Joe Biden is virtually the nominee of the Democratic Party with regard to the presidential nomination. In addition, there are a number of candidates in the third party.

A list of the candidates is presented here.

Trump, Donald C.

The leading candidate for the Republican Party with
In addition to winning nomination battles in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, the former president is currently working to ensure that his associates are able to assume leadership of the Republican National Committee in advance of the party’s convention in July.

Trump, who is 77 years old, has asserted that the criminal allegations he is facing are part of a political witch hunt that is intended to prevent him from winning. The United States Department of Justice has refuted this assertion.

His eligibility for the vote in the aftermath of the attack on the United States Capitol on January 6, 2021, as well as his claim of presidential immunity, are among the legal arguments that have been brought before the Supreme Court.

Trump has claimed that he would not be a dictator until “on day one” and has promised to pardon people who are currently incarcerated as a result of the attack that occurred on January 6. If he is elected to another four-year term, he has also promised to exact revenge on his political adversaries. In addition to this, he desires the authority to replace certain employees of the federal civil service with loyalists.

After making the statement that the United States would not defend NATO nations that failed to spend enough on defense and would encourage Russia to attack them, he drew condemnation from leaders in the Western world. He exerted pressure on Republicans in Congress to delay the implementation of a military aid deal for Ukraine.

The topic of immigration has emerged as the most important domestic campaign issue for Donald Trump, who has declared that he will carry out mass deportations, establish detention camps, and make use of the National Guard.

Additionally, he would expand a travel ban on immigrants from specific nations and put an end to the practice of birthright citizenship. However, because of his opposition to an agreement that would strengthen immigration enforcement that was reached by both parties in the Senate, the bill has been blocked, and it may even have been killed.

As well as suggesting that he would unilaterally send federal troops into Democratic-run regions, he has made repeated calls to impose the death penalty on drug dealers. He has also stated that other individuals who are suspected of committing crimes might be shot to death.

While Trump has praised the decision of the United States Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade, he has also voiced his disapproval of the six-week abortion prohibitions that have been implemented in several states that are headed by Republicans. Following the decision of an Alabama court that restricted access to in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatment in the state and highlighted concerns about reproductive rights, he stated that he was in favor of expanding access to the procedure.

The elimination of Obamacare health insurance and the erasing of a significant portion of the work done by the Biden administration to combat climate change are two of the other significant changes that he has promised to implement.

This is NIKKI HALEY.

The former governor of South Carolina and the current ambassador to the United Nations for President Trump, Nikki Haley, has stressed her relative youth in comparison to Vice President Joe Biden, who is 81 years old, and Trump, as well as her background as the daughter of Indian immigrants.

She has garnered a reputation within the Republican Party as a staunch conservative who is capable of honestly addressing issues pertaining to gender and race; yet, she is currently trailing Trump in the polls, with only 19% of Republicans supporting her, according to a survey conducted by Reuters and Ipsos.

In spite of the fact that she was born in South Carolina, Trump has been increasingly targeting her, making racial comments on her ethnicity and propagating bogus accusations about her eligibility for the White House.

Haley, on the other hand, has stepped up her attacks on Trump, describing him as “diminished” and “unhinged” and saying that he is too chaotic and divisive to be effective.

In the event that he is found guilty of federal criminal charges, Haley has stated that she would grant him a pardon.
She has not only pledged to continue running for president, but she has also sent campaign staff to at least eight states that are now holding presidential nomination contests till March 12th.

As a result of Trump’s adulation of tyrants and his backing for Russian President Vladimir Putin following the death of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, Haley has positioned herself as a staunch protector of American interests overseas. She has cited Trump’s statements.
In addition, she is in favor of modifying several safety net programs for senior citizens, such as Social Security and Medicare, and she has pledged to significantly shrink the size of the United States government by transferring some federal programs to the states.

She has expressed her personal opposition to abortion and has attempted to reach a consensus on the matter at the national level. With regard to in vitro fertilization (IVF), she has stated that she views frozen embryos as babies, but that she supports the rights of parents over them.
It has been proposed by Haley that certain tax reductions be made permanent, as well as the elimination of the federal gas tax.

DEMOCRATIC PARTY (DP)

Mr. Joe Biden

With low approval ratings and a report from the special counsel claiming that he suffered from memory lapses, Vice President Joe Biden, who is already the oldest president in the history of the United States, will have to convince voters that he has the stamina to serve for another four years in office.
The report has been criticized by Vice President Biden, and his associates have stated that he is confident that he is the only Democratic candidate who can defeat Donald Trump and save democracy. The most recent poll conducted by Reuters and Ipsos placed Biden at 34%, while Trump received 37% of the vote. This is quite near to the margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

Biden stated that he needed to safeguard American liberties when he announced his candidacy, and he referred to the attack on the United States Capitol that took place on January 6, 2021, which resulted in the death of a number of people. Once again, he has chosen Vice President Kamala Harris to be his running mate.

The state of the economy will also play a role in his campaign for reelection. Despite the fact that the United States of America has avoided a recession and is expanding at a quicker rate than experts had projected, inflation reached its highest level in forty years in 2022, and the cost of staples is weighing on voters.
The large economic stimulus and infrastructure investment packages that Biden pushed through in order to boost industrial output in the United States have received little appreciation from voters, despite the fact that he was the driving force behind them.

The response of Western governments to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been led by Vice President Joe Biden. He has been successful in convincing allies to embargo Russia and provide support to Kyiv. Additionally, he has been supportive of Israel in its fight with Hamas in Gaza while simultaneously advocating for increased humanitarian aid.

On the other hand, he has been subjected to severe criticism from a number of his fellow Democrats for his refusal to support a permanent ceasefire in the Palestinian territory. According to Gaza health officials, nearly 30,000 people have been killed, thousands of buildings have been damaged or destroyed, and residents do not have sufficient supplies of food, water, and medical supplies.

Due to the fact that the number of people crossing the border between the United States and Mexico reached record highs under Biden’s presidency, the government’s handling of immigration policy has also been attacked by both Republicans and Democrats.

When it comes to the presidential nomination contests held by the Democratic Party, Biden has been victorious in New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, and Michigan with relative ease.

A. PHILLIPS, DEAN

Dean Phillips, a relatively unknown member of Congress from Minnesota, made the announcement in October that he would launch a long-shot challenge to Vice President Joe Biden. Phillips is of the opinion that the president is not capable of winning another term in office.

The rich businessman and co-founder of a gelato firm, who is 55 years old, made the announcement of his campaign in a video that was uploaded to the internet and lasted one minute. He said, “We’ve got some obstacles… This economy is going to be repaired, and we are going to repair the United States of America with it.
Phillips finished in second place in New Hampshire and did not earn any delegates in South Carolina. They both came in second place. It was not possible to find him on the ballot in Nevada.

MARY WILLIAMSON, MARIANNE

The self-help expert and best-selling author Marianne Williamson, who is 71 years old, has re-launched her second, long-shot quest for the White House on a platform of “justice and love” less than a month after she had previously abstained from running for the office.
During the primary election for the 2020 presidential election, she ran as a Democrat but ultimately decided to withdraw from the race before any votes were cast. She announced in a statement that she had halted her campaign for the year 2024 because she was falling behind in “the horse race,” but that she was going to resume her campaign in order to combat Trump’s “dark and authoritarian vision.”

FREE INDIVIDUALS

Senator Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

After first challenging Biden for the Democratic nomination, Kennedy, who is 70 years old and a campaigner against vaccinations, is now running as an independent candidate. However, he is currently trailing in the polls.

Previous surveys conducted by Reuters and Ipsos indicated that Kennedy could be more detrimental to Biden than to Trump in the presidential election. This is a situation in which third-party candidates have influenced the outcome of elections in the United States even when they did not win.

Trump maintained his lead over Biden by six percentage points in a poll conducted by Reuters and Ipsos and published on January 25. This poll was the most recent one to allow respondents the opportunity to vote for third-party candidates, including Kennedy, whose support was at eight percent.
Kennedy is the son of Robert F. Kennedy, a senator from the United States of America who was murdered in 1968 while he was running for president of the United States.
His family members were upset by an unexpected advertisement that was broadcast during the Super Bowl and extensively featured his link to his uncle, John F. Kennedy, who had previously served as President of the United States.

In response to his dissemination of false information regarding vaccines and the COVID-19 pandemic, he was initially banned from Instagram but was subsequently reinstated. Additionally, he was unsuccessful in his legal attempt to get Google, the owner of YouTube, to reinstall videos in which he questioned the safety of COVID vaccinations.

SOUTH OF CORNEL

In June, the political activist, philosopher, and academic announced that he would be running for president as a candidate for a third party, which is expected to appeal to people who lean toward the Democratic Party and progressive ideologies.

In October, West, who is now 70 years old, stated that people “want good policies over partisan politics” and announced his intention to run for office as an independent candidate. Initially, West campaigned as a candidate for the Green Party. In addition to ensuring housing, he has pledged to put an end to poverty.

A. STEIN, JILL

Jill Stein, a physician, re-upped her campaign for the Green Party in 2016, accusing Democrats of violating their pledges “for working people, youth, and the climate again and again – while Republicans don’t even make such promises in the first place.” Stein had previously stated that she would run for president in 2016.

In the aftermath of Trump’s unexpected victory in 2016, Stein, who is 73 years old, raised millions of dollars for recounts. The single electoral review that was conducted in Wisconsin was based on her allegations, and it revealed that Trump had won.

Those responsible for reporting were Costas Pitas and Susan Heavey, and Jonathan Oatis, Lisa Shumaker, and Daniel Wallis were in charge of editing.

By b0oua

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